GGOALVIO

Scotland · Premiership · 8/26/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Hibernian · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Hibernian are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Livingston are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Hibernian hold a 21.3-point power-rating edge (53.0 v 31.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 66.1% in the Premiership, while Hibernian holds the strongest overall chance at 66% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Hibernian

Probability

66.1%

Model confidence

66.1%

Hibernian has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

HibernianLWDLW

GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
LivingstonWLDWW

GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80

BTTS 0/5O2.5 2/5
HibernianLivingston
50.0Attack25.4
50.0Defence38.6
50.0Form21.9
53.0Power31.7
2.04xG0.66
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