Hibernianvs
Kilmarnock
SCHEDULEDScotland · Premiership · 8/22/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hibernian · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Hibernian are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Kilmarnock are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLDWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and kilmarnock hold a 8.3-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 32.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the Premiership, favouring Hibernian with 12.8% confidence, a 60% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Hibernian
Probability
38.1%
Model confidence
12.8%
Hibernian has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80