Hibernianvs
Kilmarnock
COMPLETEDScotland · Premiership · 9/15/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hibernian · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Hibernian 0-1 Kilmarnock
Original prediction
Hibernian
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 1 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.45 | 64.9% | 57.9% | -7.0 pts |
| Draw | 4.61 | 20.4% | 22.2% | 1.8 pts |
| Away | 6.40 | 14.7% | 19.9% | 5.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–010%
Predicted outcome
Hibernian
Probability
57.9%
Model confidence
57.9%
Hibernian has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60