Hibernianvs
Heart Of Midlothian
COMPLETEDScotland · Premiership · 9/3/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Heart Of Midlothian · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Hibernian 1-3 Heart Of Midlothian
Original prediction
Heart Of Midlothian
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.47 | 37.9% | 35.9% | -2.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.46 | 27.1% | 27.0% | -0.1 pts |
| Away | 2.67 | 35.1% | 37.2% | 2.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.67 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Heart Of Midlothian
Probability
37.2%
Model confidence
37.2%
Heart Of Midlothian has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40