Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hibernian · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Hibernian 0-0 Gent, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Hibernian 2-3 Gent
Original prediction
Hibernian
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:49 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.70 | 34.3% | 39.9% | 5.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.15 | 29.4% | 29.9% | 0.4 pts |
| Away | 2.56 | 36.3% | 30.2% | -6.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.6 pts
Projected Score
Hibernian 0–0 Gent
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Hibernian
Probability
39.9%
Model confidence
39.9%
Hibernian has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
HibernianDWDWW
GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
GentDWDWW
GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
HibernianGent
40.0Attack13.3
73.3Defence93.3
53.3Form46.7
56.4Power54.5
1.09xG0.78