Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Celtic · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Projected score: Hibernian 0-2 Celtic, with an exact score probability of 15%.
Prediction record
Final result
Hibernian 1-2 Celtic
Original prediction
Celtic
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 06:30 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 5.24 | 17.9% | 17.4% | -0.6 pts |
| Draw | 4.40 | 21.3% | 21.6% | 0.3 pts |
| Away | 1.54 | 60.8% | 61.0% | 0.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.54 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.3 pts
Projected Score
Hibernian 0–2 Celtic
Exact score probability: 15%
Predicted outcome
Celtic
Probability
61.0%
Model confidence
61.0%
Celtic has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
HibernianLLDLW
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
CelticLWLWL
GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
HibernianCeltic
33.3Attack85.2
48.1Defence81.5
25.9Form88.9
38.8Power83.3
0.56xG2.44