GGOALVIO

Netherlands · Tweede Divisie · 10/3/2026, 12:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Ijsselmeervogels · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-2 (8%), 0-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

HHC 2-1 Ijsselmeervogels

Original prediction

Ijsselmeervogels

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 05:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.3239.2%36.9%-2.3 pts
Draw3.6524.9%25.6%0.7 pts
Away2.5335.9%37.6%1.7 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

1.7 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–114%
  2. 2.1–28%
  3. 3.0–18%

Predicted outcome

Ijsselmeervogels

Probability

37.6%

Model confidence

37.6%

Ijsselmeervogels has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

HHCLLLDD

GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
IjsselmeervogelsWLWLW

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 0/5O2.5 2/5
HHCIjsselmeervogels
61.9Attack42.9
47.6Defence85.7
52.4Form66.7
55.6Power66.3
1.31xG1.36
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