HFX Wanderers FCvs
York United
COMPLETEDCanada · Canadian Premier League · 9/20/2026, 7:10:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
HFX Wanderers FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (9%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
HFX Wanderers FC 4-1 York United
Original prediction
HFX Wanderers FC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.82 | 49.8% | 52.3% | 2.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.64 | 24.9% | 20.9% | -4.0 pts |
| Away | 3.57 | 25.4% | 26.8% | 1.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.82 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
HFX Wanderers FC
Probability
52.3%
Model confidence
52.3%
HFX Wanderers FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 11 · avg 2.00/2.20
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60