GGOALVIO

Canada · Canadian Premier League · 10/22/2025, 10:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

HFX Wanderers FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

HFX Wanderers FC are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while York 9 FC are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDDWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and HFX Wanderers FC hold an 8.4-point power-rating edge (43.3 v 35.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 55.5% in the Canadian Premier League, while HFX Wanderers FC holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

HFX Wanderers FC

Probability

55.5%

Model confidence

55.5%

HFX Wanderers FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

HFX Wanderers FCLWDLW

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
York 9 FCLDDWL

GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
HFX Wanderers FCYork 9 FC
41.2Attack38.1
49.0Defence26.2
33.3Form33.3
43.3Power35.0
1.99xG1.05
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