GGOALVIO

Canada · Canadian Premier League · 8/12/2023, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Vancouver FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

HFX Wanderers FC are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Vancouver FC are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Vancouver FC hold a 13.9-point power-rating edge (43.3 v 57.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.4% in the Canadian Premier League, while Vancouver FC holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Vancouver FC

Probability

48.4%

Model confidence

48.4%

Vancouver FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

HFX Wanderers FCLWWLW

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Vancouver FCDLLLW

GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
HFX Wanderers FCVancouver FC
41.2Attack51.0
49.0Defence66.7
33.3Form52.9
43.3Power57.2
0.85xG1.49
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