GGOALVIO

Canada · Canadian Premier League · 8/4/2025, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Vancouver FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

HFX Wanderers FC are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Vancouver FC are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLDDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Vancouver FC hold a 13.9-point power-rating edge (43.3 v 57.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.4% in the Canadian Premier League, while Vancouver FC holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Vancouver FC

Probability

48.4%

Model confidence

48.4%

Vancouver FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

HFX Wanderers FCLLLWW

GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Vancouver FCLLDDL

GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
HFX Wanderers FCVancouver FC
41.2Attack51.0
49.0Defence66.7
33.3Form52.9
43.3Power57.2
0.85xG1.49
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