GGOALVIO

Canada · Canadian Premier League · 10/5/2024, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Vancouver FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

HFX Wanderers FC are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDDWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Vancouver FC are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 0.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Vancouver FC hold a 13.9-point power-rating edge (43.3 v 57.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.4% in the Canadian Premier League, while Vancouver FC holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Vancouver FC

Probability

48.4%

Model confidence

48.4%

Vancouver FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

HFX Wanderers FCDDDWL

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Vancouver FCDLLLL

GF 1 · GA 8 · avg 0.20/1.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
HFX Wanderers FCVancouver FC
41.2Attack51.0
49.0Defence66.7
33.3Form52.9
43.3Power57.2
0.85xG1.49
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