GGOALVIO

Canada · Canadian Premier League · 8/22/2025, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

HFX Wanderers FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

HFX Wanderers FC are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DDLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Valour are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and HFX Wanderers FC hold a 2.5-point power-rating edge (43.3 v 40.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.1% in the Canadian Premier League, while HFX Wanderers FC holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 33% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

HFX Wanderers FC

Probability

41.1%

Model confidence

41.1%

HFX Wanderers FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

HFX Wanderers FCDDLLL

GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
ValourDLLWW

GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
HFX Wanderers FCValour
41.2Attack29.8
49.0Defence54.8
33.3Form31.0
43.3Power40.8
1.21xG0.83
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