HFX Wanderers FCvs
Supra du Quebec
COMPLETEDCanada · Canadian Premier League · 10/25/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Supra du Quebec · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
HFX Wanderers FC 3-4 Supra du Quebec
Original prediction
Supra du Quebec
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 7 October 2026 at 08:57 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.85 | 23.4% | 33.6% | 10.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.78 | 23.9% | 27.2% | 3.3 pts |
| Away | 1.71 | 52.7% | 39.2% | -13.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.71 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-13.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Supra du Quebec
Probability
39.2%
Model confidence
39.2%
Supra du Quebec has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80
GF 12 · GA 9 · avg 2.40/1.80