HFX Wanderers FCvs
Forge
COMPLETEDCanada · Canadian Premier League · 9/30/2023, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Forge · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
HFX Wanderers FC are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Forge are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Forge hold a 28.4-point power-rating edge (43.3 v 71.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 55.8% in the Canadian Premier League, while Forge holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 38% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Forge
Probability
55.8%
Model confidence
55.8%
Forge has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80
GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60