GGOALVIO

Canada · Canadian Premier League · 6/30/2023, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Forge · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

HFX Wanderers FC are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Forge are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Forge hold a 28.4-point power-rating edge (43.3 v 71.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 55.8% in the Canadian Premier League, while Forge holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 38% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Forge

Probability

55.8%

Model confidence

55.8%

Forge has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

HFX Wanderers FCDWWLD

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
ForgeWLLLD

GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
HFX Wanderers FCForge
41.2Attack51.1
49.0Defence80.0
33.3Form77.8
43.3Power71.8
0.64xG1.56
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