GGOALVIO

Canada · Canadian Premier League · 7/25/2025, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Forge · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

HFX Wanderers FC are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Forge are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WDDWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Forge hold a 28.4-point power-rating edge (43.3 v 71.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 55.8% in the Canadian Premier League, while Forge holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 38% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Forge

Probability

55.8%

Model confidence

55.8%

Forge has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

HFX Wanderers FCLLWWD

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
ForgeWDDWD

GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
HFX Wanderers FCForge
41.2Attack51.1
49.0Defence80.0
33.3Form77.8
43.3Power71.8
0.64xG1.56
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