HFX Wanderers FCvs
Cavalry FC
COMPLETEDCanada · Canadian Premier League · 10/12/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cavalry FC · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (13%), 0-1 (11%), 1-2 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
HFX Wanderers FC 2-2 Cavalry FC
Original prediction
Cavalry FC
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 06:26 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.84 | 23.5% | 19.2% | -4.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.72 | 24.3% | 22.6% | -1.7 pts |
| Away | 1.73 | 52.1% | 58.2% | 6.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.72 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–213%
- 2.0–111%
- 3.1–210%
Predicted outcome
Cavalry FC
Probability
58.2%
Model confidence
58.2%
Cavalry FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60
GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40