HFX Wanderers FCvs
Cavalry FC
COMPLETEDCanada · Canadian Premier League · 9/7/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cavalry FC · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (13%), 0-1 (11%), 0-3 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
HFX Wanderers FC 1-3 Cavalry FC
Original prediction
Cavalry FC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.09 | 22.2% | 13.4% | -8.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.62 | 25.1% | 19.2% | -5.9 pts |
| Away | 1.72 | 52.7% | 67.4% | 14.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.72 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
14.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–213%
- 2.0–111%
- 3.0–310%
Predicted outcome
Cavalry FC
Probability
67.4%
Model confidence
67.4%
Cavalry FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00
GF 12 · GA 3 · avg 2.40/0.60