GGOALVIO

Canada · Canadian Premier League · 9/18/2023, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

HFX Wanderers FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

HFX Wanderers FC are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDLWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Atlético Ottawa are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLLDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Atlético Ottawa hold a 6.3-point power-rating edge (43.3 v 49.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.6% in the Canadian Premier League, while HFX Wanderers FC holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

HFX Wanderers FC

Probability

36.6%

Model confidence

36.6%

HFX Wanderers FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

HFX Wanderers FCLDLWD

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Atlético OttawaDLLDW

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
HFX Wanderers FCAtlético Ottawa
41.2Attack52.1
49.0Defence39.6
33.3Form50.0
43.3Power49.6
1.56xG1.49
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