HFX Wanderers FCvs
Atlético Ottawa
COMPLETEDCanada · Canadian Premier League · 9/26/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
HFX Wanderers FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
HFX Wanderers FC 0-1 Atlético Ottawa
Original prediction
HFX Wanderers FC
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 04:58 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.01 | 44.9% | 45.6% | 0.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.60 | 25.0% | 22.2% | -2.8 pts |
| Away | 2.99 | 30.1% | 32.1% | 2.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
HFX Wanderers FC
Probability
45.6%
Model confidence
45.6%
HFX Wanderers FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60
GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80