GGOALVIO

Canada · Canadian Premier League · 4/27/2024, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

HFX Wanderers FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

HFX Wanderers FC are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Atlético Ottawa are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWWLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Atlético Ottawa hold a 6.3-point power-rating edge (43.3 v 49.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.6% in the Canadian Premier League, while HFX Wanderers FC holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

HFX Wanderers FC

Probability

36.6%

Model confidence

36.6%

HFX Wanderers FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

HFX Wanderers FCLLLWW

GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Atlético OttawaDWWLL

GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
HFX Wanderers FCAtlético Ottawa
41.2Attack52.1
49.0Defence39.6
33.3Form50.0
43.3Power49.6
1.56xG1.49
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