Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hestrafor · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 1-1 (8%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Hestrafor 3-1 Torslanda
Original prediction
Hestrafor
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:55 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.35 | 38.4% | 50.2% | 11.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.65 | 24.7% | 19.9% | -4.8 pts |
| Away | 2.45 | 36.9% | 29.9% | -6.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.35 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
11.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–19%
- 2.1–18%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Hestrafor
Probability
50.2%
Model confidence
50.2%
Hestrafor has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
HestraforDWDWW
GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60
BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
TorslandaLLWWD
GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
HestraforTorslanda
70.4Attack51.9
40.7Defence50.0
57.4Form40.7
57.0Power48.0
2.39xG1.67