Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hestrafor · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-2 (8%), 2-1 (7%), 1-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Hestrafor 2-0 Lindome
Original prediction
Hestrafor
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:24 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.33 | 38.7% | 41.1% | 2.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.71 | 24.3% | 20.1% | -4.2 pts |
| Away | 2.43 | 37.0% | 38.8% | 1.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.33 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–28%
- 2.2–17%
- 3.1–17%
Predicted outcome
Hestrafor
Probability
41.1%
Model confidence
41.1%
Hestrafor has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
HestraforWDWDW
GF 12 · GA 8 · avg 2.40/1.60
BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
LindomeWWWWL
GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
HestraforLindome
71.9Attack66.7
42.1Defence52.6
59.6Form59.6
58.7Power59.5
2.24xG2.17