Hestraforvs
Kongahälla
COMPLETEDSweden · Division 2 - Västra Götaland · 9/19/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hestrafor · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-1 (9%), 2-1 (8%), 4-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Hestrafor 1-3 Kongahälla
Original prediction
Hestrafor
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.77 | 51.4% | 68.3% | 16.9 pts |
| Draw | 4.13 | 22.1% | 15.5% | -6.6 pts |
| Away | 3.45 | 26.5% | 16.2% | -10.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
16.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–19%
- 2.2–18%
- 3.4–17%
Predicted outcome
Hestrafor
Probability
68.3%
Model confidence
68.3%
Hestrafor has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00
GF 14 · GA 9 · avg 2.80/1.80