Hessen Kasselvs
VfR Mannheim
COMPLETEDGermany · Regionalliga - SudWest · 10/17/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
VfR Mannheim · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Hessen Kassel 0-3 VfR Mannheim
Original prediction
VfR Mannheim
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.76 | 32.6% | 27.6% | -5.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.78 | 23.8% | 22.1% | -1.7 pts |
| Away | 2.07 | 43.5% | 50.3% | 6.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.07 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–28%
Predicted outcome
VfR Mannheim
Probability
50.3%
Model confidence
50.3%
VfR Mannheim has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80
GF 11 · GA 3 · avg 2.20/0.60