GGOALVIO

Germany · Regionalliga - SudWest · 8/5/2023, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Hessen Kassel · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Hessen Kassel are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while FSV Mainz 05 II are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 50.1 against 49.5. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.8% in the Regionalliga - SudWest, while Hessen Kassel holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Hessen Kassel

Probability

42.8%

Model confidence

42.8%

Hessen Kassel has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Hessen KasselWLWWW

GF 15 · GA 8 · avg 3.00/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
FSV Mainz 05 IIDWLLW

GF 9 · GA 11 · avg 1.80/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Hessen KasselFSV Mainz 05 II
48.0Attack54.9
51.0Defence41.2
46.1Form49.0
50.1Power49.5
1.85xG1.50
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