GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Nordost-Nord · 8/6/2023, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Lichtenberg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Hertha Zehlendorf are 1W-1D-1L in their last 3 (WLD), averaging 1.67 scored and 1.67 conceded, while Lichtenberg are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 8 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Lichtenberg hold a 2.1-point power-rating edge (80.3 v 82.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.4% in the Oberliga - Nordost-Nord, while Lichtenberg holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Lichtenberg

Probability

37.4%

Model confidence

37.4%

Lichtenberg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Hertha ZehlendorfWLD

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.67/1.67

BTTS 3/3O2.5 2/3
LichtenbergWLWWD

GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Hertha ZehlendorfLichtenberg
100.0Attack100.0
64.4Defence77.0
85.1Form81.6
80.3Power82.4
1.72xG1.78
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