Hertha BSCvs
Arminia Bielefeld
COMPLETEDGermany · 2. Bundesliga · 10/24/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hertha BSC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (10%), 2-1 (9%), 3-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Hertha BSC 1-0 Arminia Bielefeld
Original prediction
Hertha BSC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 06:35 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.78 | 52.3% | 66.2% | 13.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.90 | 23.9% | 18.0% | -5.9 pts |
| Away | 3.92 | 23.8% | 15.7% | -8.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.78 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
13.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–010%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.3–09%
Predicted outcome
Hertha BSC
Probability
66.2%
Model confidence
66.2%
Hertha BSC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40