Hertha BSCvs
1. FC Magdeburg
COMPLETEDGermany · 2. Bundesliga · 9/6/2026, 11:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hertha BSC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 1-1 (8%), 3-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Hertha BSC 2-1 1. FC Magdeburg
Original prediction
Hertha BSC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:24 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.93 | 48.4% | 50.5% | 2.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.80 | 24.6% | 23.6% | -1.0 pts |
| Away | 3.47 | 27.0% | 25.9% | -1.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.93 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–19%
- 2.1–18%
- 3.3–18%
Predicted outcome
Hertha BSC
Probability
50.5%
Model confidence
50.5%
Hertha BSC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 7 · avg 2.60/1.40
GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40