Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs
Friday, 17 July 202616:00Updated today
Hertha BSC II

Hertha BSC II

Home
L
vs
16:00
Schöningen

Schöningen

Away
L
GoalVio prediction
Friendly match
Very hard to predict

Friendly match — very hard to predict, not included in accuracy.

Hertha BSC II51%
Draw35%
Schöningen14%
Most likely exact score2-1
Win probability
Hertha BSC II
51%
Draw
35%
Schöningen
14%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Hertha BSC II
34
Schöningen
94
Defence
Hertha BSC II
6
Schöningen
0
Momentum
Hertha BSC II
0
Schöningen
0
Danger (xG)
Hertha BSC II
0.90
Schöningen
2.70
Both teams to score
Yes

The model projects 1.62 xG for Hertha BSC II and 1.11 xG for Schöningen — strong and meaningful attacking threat respectively. Both sides are generating enough chance quality to make scoring a realistic expectation, which is the primary driver of the BTTS projection.The projected 1-1 scoreline reflects both teams contributing to the goal tally. Even with Schöningen holding the stronger xG profile, the opposition's strong attacking output is sufficient to keep BTTS in play.The attack-versus-defence matchup supports both teams scoring. Hertha BSC II's Attack Score (34) exceeds Schöningen's Defensive Stability (0), and Schöningen's attack (94) similarly tests Hertha BSC II's defence (6). Neither backline is dominant enough to prevent the other side from scoring.

Over 2.5 goals
Yes

The model projects a combined xG of 2.73 — elevated attacking volume. A combined xG below 2.5 is the model's primary signal that the match is unlikely to produce more than two goals, and this fixture falls below that threshold.The projected 1-1 scoreline stays under the 2.5-goal mark. The probability grid is dominated by scorelines of two goals or fewer, with the over 2.5 market requiring a result that sits outside the model's most likely outcomes.

xG for (Hertha BSC II)
0.90
avg per match
xG for (Schöningen)
2.70
avg per match
xG against (Hertha BSC II)
2.70
avg per match
xG against (Schöningen)
4.50
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Hertha BSC IIHertha BSC II
L
SchöningenSchöningen
L

Probability breakdown

53% confidence
Hertha BSC II51%
Draw35%
Schöningen14%

Hertha BSC II leads with 51% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

Share this

Analysis

Hertha BSC II Backed to Win — Model Projects 2-1

Hertha BSC II take on Schöningen in Friendlies Clubs.

Why GoalVio backs this

The xG model projects 1.62 for Hertha BSC II and 1.11 for Schöningen. The gap of 0.51 is not large enough to decisively separate the sides — neither team is creating chances at a level that justifies a clear winner projection.

Biggest risk: The draw projection is inherently fragile — a single moment of quality from either side could produce a winner. The model sees no clear favourite, which means the actual result is highly sensitive to in-game events and individual quality.

Risk factors

  • Live conditions — weather, team news, and in-game momentum — can always override statistical projections.
  • The Poisson model works on averages — individual moments of quality can decide matches that data suggests should be close.

Recent form

Hertha BSC II

Hertha BSC II

L
@ SV Babelsberg 03
16 May 2026
13
Schöningen

Schöningen

L
vs Phönix Lübeck
16 May 2026
35

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Hertha BSC II vs Schöningen?

GoalVio's model predicts Hertha BSC II to win with 53% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Hertha BSC II vs Schöningen?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-1.

Will both teams score in Hertha BSC II vs Schöningen?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Hertha BSC II vs Schöningen?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

Explore more predictions

About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
View full accuracy stats →
Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more