GGOALVIO

Germany · Regionalliga - Nordost · 8/15/2023, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

FSV Zwickau · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Hertha BSC II are 3W-0D-1L in their last 4 (WLWW), averaging 3.75 scored and 1.25 conceded, while FSV Zwickau are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 9 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and FSV Zwickau hold a 12.3-point power-rating edge (24.6 v 36.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.2% in the Regionalliga - Nordost, while FSV Zwickau holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

FSV Zwickau

Probability

35.2%

Model confidence

35.2%

FSV Zwickau has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Hertha BSC IIWLWW

GF 15 · GA 5 · avg 3.75/1.25

BTTS 2/4O2.5 4/4
FSV ZwickauWLLLW

GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Hertha BSC IIFSV Zwickau
33.3Attack25.0
0.0Defence41.7
25.0Form33.3
24.6Power36.8
1.45xG1.47
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