Herrestadsvs
Kumla
COMPLETEDSweden · Division 2 - Norra Götaland · 9/18/2026, 5:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Herrestads · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (10%), 2-1 (10%), 1-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Herrestads 2-1 Kumla
Original prediction
Herrestads
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.66 | 54.4% | 66.6% | 12.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.97 | 22.7% | 17.9% | -4.8 pts |
| Away | 3.93 | 22.9% | 15.5% | -7.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.66 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
12.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–010%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.1–19%
Predicted outcome
Herrestads
Probability
66.6%
Model confidence
66.6%
Herrestads has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20
GF 3 · GA 18 · avg 0.60/3.60