Herrestadsvs
Grebbestad
COMPLETEDSweden · Division 2 - Norra Götaland · 10/5/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Grebbestad · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Herrestads 3-1 Grebbestad
Original prediction
Grebbestad
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 05:19 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.51 | 35.9% | 35.0% | -0.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.57 | 25.2% | 25.3% | 0.0 pts |
| Away | 2.32 | 38.9% | 39.7% | 0.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–19%
- 2.1–28%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Grebbestad
Probability
39.7%
Model confidence
39.7%
Grebbestad has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40