Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tauro FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Herrera 0-1 Tauro FC, with an exact score probability of 15%.
Prediction record
Final result
Herrera 0-6 Tauro FC
Original prediction
Tauro FC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.48 | 20.2% | 14.1% | -6.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.59 | 25.2% | 21.7% | -3.5 pts |
| Away | 1.65 | 54.7% | 64.2% | 9.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.65 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
9.6 pts
Projected Score
Herrera 0–1 Tauro FC
Exact score probability: 15%
Predicted outcome
Tauro FC
Probability
64.2%
Model confidence
64.2%
Tauro FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
HerreraLLLLD
GF 5 · GA 13 · avg 1.00/2.60
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Tauro FCWWWLL
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
HerreraTauro FC
27.8Attack41.7
26.4Defence62.5
18.1Form44.4
27.4Power50.5
0.63xG1.79