Herreravs
San Francisco FC
COMPLETEDPanama · Liga Panameña de Fútbol · 10/25/2026, 9:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
San Francisco FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (12%), 1-2 (10%), 0-3 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Herrera 1-3 San Francisco FC
Original prediction
San Francisco FC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 19:49 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.94 | 18.3% | 14.7% | -3.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.82 | 23.7% | 19.4% | -4.3 pts |
| Away | 1.56 | 58.0% | 65.9% | 7.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.56 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–212%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–39%
Predicted outcome
San Francisco FC
Probability
65.9%
Model confidence
65.9%
San Francisco FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 13 · avg 1.20/2.60
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80