Heroes de Zaci 2vs
Deportivo Ayense
COMPLETEDMexico · Liga Premier Serie B · 10/16/2026, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Deportivo Ayense · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (9%), 0-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Heroes de Zaci 2 0-0 Deportivo Ayense
Original prediction
Deportivo Ayense
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 18 September 2026 at 15:58 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.69 | 24.6% | 30.4% | 5.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.88 | 23.4% | 25.6% | 2.2 pts |
| Away | 1.74 | 52.0% | 44.0% | -8.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.88 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.0–18%
Predicted outcome
Deportivo Ayense
Probability
44.0%
Model confidence
44.0%
Deportivo Ayense has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.75
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40