Herne Bayvs
Kingstonian
SCHEDULEDEngland · FA Trophy · 8/29/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Herne Bay · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Herne Bay are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWLDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Kingstonian are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWLW), averaging 3.40 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Kingstonian hold a 22.2-point power-rating edge (15.3 v 37.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.6% in the FA Trophy, while Herne Bay holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Herne Bay
Probability
38.6%
Model confidence
38.6%
Herne Bay has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80
GF 17 · GA 14 · avg 3.40/2.80