GGOALVIO

England · National League - North · 8/12/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Hereford · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Hereford are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Darlington 1883 are 0W-0D-2L in their last 2 (LL), averaging 0.50 scored and 2.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 7 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 53.0 against 53.0. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.0% in the National League - North, while Hereford holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Hereford

Probability

39.0%

Model confidence

39.0%

Hereford has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

HerefordDWWLW

GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Darlington 1883LL

GF 1 · GA 5 · avg 0.50/2.50

BTTS 1/2O2.5 1/2
HerefordDarlington 1883
33.3Attack66.7
66.7Defence33.3
50.0Form50.0
53.0Power53.0
1.48xG1.26
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