Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Herd · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-2
Herd have no completed matches on record, with no goal data yet, while Molde II are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 2.40 scored and 4.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 5 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Herd hold an 11.1-point power-rating edge (56.0 v 45.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 6.8% in the 3. Division - Girone 2, while Herd holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 93% BTTS chance and 97% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Herd
Probability
57.2%
Model confidence
6.8%
Herd has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 0 · GA 0 · avg 0.00/0.00
GF 12 · GA 21 · avg 2.40/4.20