Catarinense - 2Catarinense - 2
Wednesday, 15 July 202623:30Last updated 10:06
Hercílio Luz

Hercílio Luz

Home
W
10
Full time
Juventus SC

Juventus SC

Away
LD
GoalVio prediction
64% confidence
Hercílio Luz(64%)
Most likely exact score1-0
Prediction correct— Result: Hercílio Luz
Win probability
Hercílio Luz
64%
Draw
25%
Juventus SC
11%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Hercílio Luz
34
Juventus SC
18
Defence
Hercílio Luz
91
Juventus SC
66
Momentum
Hercílio Luz
100
Juventus SC
17
Danger (xG)
Hercílio Luz
0.90
Juventus SC
0.45
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Hercílio Luz)
0.90
avg per match
xG for (Juventus SC)
0.45
avg per match
xG against (Hercílio Luz)
0.00
avg per match
xG against (Juventus SC)
0.90
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Hercílio LuzHercílio Luz
WD
Juventus SCJuventus SC
LDD

Probability breakdown

64% confidence
Hercílio Luz64%
Draw25%
Juventus SC11%

Hercílio Luz leads with 64% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Hercílio Luz head into this in Catarinense - 2 fixture in mixed form (W), while Juventus SC arrive in mixed form (LD). Hercílio Luz have a 100% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 0% for Juventus SC over 2 games.

Both sides are defensively strong — Hercílio Luz (91/100) and Juventus SC (66/100) are both rated highly at the back. The model expects a tight, low-scoring affair with defences on top.

Hercílio Luz have won 1 of their last 2 home fixtures, averaging 0.5 goals scored and 0.0 conceded per game at home. Juventus SC have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 3 away matches. They average 0.3 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per away game.

Hercílio Luz have the upper hand in recent meetings, winning 1 of the last 1 encounters, averaging 1.0 goals per game.

The GoalVio engine projects Hercílio Luz to win with 64% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-0. Win probabilities: Hercílio Luz 6415%, Draw 2490%, Juventus SC 1095%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Head to head

Hercílio Luz 1Draws 00 Juventus SC
Avg goals: 1.0
15 Jul 2026
Hercílio Luz
W10
Juventus SC

Recent form

Hercílio Luz

Hercílio Luz

W
vs Juventus SC
15 Jul 2026
10
D
vs Blumenau
13 May 2026
00
Juventus SC

Juventus SC

L
@ Hercílio Luz
15 Jul 2026
01
D
@ Blumenau
8 Jul 2026
11
D
@ Guarani de Palhoça
16 May 2026
00

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Hercílio Luz vs Juventus SC?

GoalVio's model predicts Hercílio Luz to win with 64% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Hercílio Luz vs Juventus SC?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in Hercílio Luz vs Juventus SC?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Hercílio Luz vs Juventus SC?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more