Hercílio LuzvsConcórdia

Hercílio Luz are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (WDDDD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Concórdia are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Hercílio Luz hold a 6.3-point power-rating edge (64.7 v 58.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.9% in the Copa Santa Catarina, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 26% for over 2.5 goals.