Hercílio Luzvs
Blumenau
COMPLETEDBrazil · Copa Santa Catarina · 10/24/2026, 9:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hercílio Luz · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-0 (11%), 2-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Hercílio Luz 0-0 Blumenau
Original prediction
Hercílio Luz
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 30 September 2026 at 00:46 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.66 | 54.5% | 45.9% | -8.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.52 | 25.7% | 28.0% | 2.3 pts |
| Away | 4.54 | 19.9% | 26.1% | 6.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.52 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.2–010%
Predicted outcome
Hercílio Luz
Probability
45.9%
Model confidence
45.9%
Hercílio Luz has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00