GGOALVIO

Brazil · Catarinense U20 · 4/12/2024, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Hercílio Luz U20 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Hercílio Luz U20 are 0W-1D-1L in their last 2 (LD), averaging 0.50 scored and 1.50 conceded, while Nação U20 are 1W-0D-2L in their last 3 (WLL), averaging 1.67 scored and 2.33 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 5 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Hercílio Luz U20 hold a 13.6-point power-rating edge (57.1 v 43.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 59.9% in the Catarinense U20, while Hercílio Luz U20 holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 74% BTTS chance and 79% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Hercílio Luz U20

Probability

59.9%

Model confidence

59.9%

Hercílio Luz U20 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Hercílio Luz U20LD

GF 1 · GA 3 · avg 0.50/1.50

BTTS 1/2O2.5 1/2
Nação U20WLL

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.67/2.33

BTTS 2/3O2.5 2/3
Hercílio Luz U20Nação U20
63.6Attack58.8
51.5Defence35.3
57.6Form37.3
57.1Power43.5
2.81xG1.52
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