Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hennef 05 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Hennef 05 are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Porz are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLD), averaging 1.60 scored and 6.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 41.0 against 39.3. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.5% in the Oberliga - Mittelrhein, while Hennef 05 holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 77% BTTS chance and 78% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Hennef 05
Probability
47.5%
Model confidence
47.5%
Hennef 05 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60
GF 8 · GA 30 · avg 1.60/6.00