Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hennef 05 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Hennef 05 are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.80 conceded, while Porz are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLDW), averaging 3.20 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 41.0 against 39.3. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.5% in the Oberliga - Mittelrhein, while Hennef 05 holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 77% BTTS chance and 78% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Hennef 05
Probability
47.5%
Model confidence
47.5%
Hennef 05 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 14 · avg 1.20/2.80
GF 16 · GA 13 · avg 3.20/2.60