Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hennef 05 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Hennef 05 are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Porz are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWWLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 41.0 against 39.3. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.5% in the Oberliga - Mittelrhein, while Hennef 05 holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 77% BTTS chance and 78% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Hennef 05
Probability
47.5%
Model confidence
47.5%
Hennef 05 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.20/1.80
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20