Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hennef 05 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Hennef 05 are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WWLLL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Hürth are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 41.0 against 40.8. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.5% in the Oberliga - Mittelrhein, while Hennef 05 holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Hennef 05
Probability
45.5%
Model confidence
45.5%
Hennef 05 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60
GF 14 · GA 4 · avg 2.80/0.80