Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hennef 05 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Hennef 05 are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Hürth are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDWDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 41.0 against 40.8. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.5% in the Oberliga - Mittelrhein, while Hennef 05 holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Hennef 05
Probability
45.5%
Model confidence
45.5%
Hennef 05 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80