GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Mittelrhein · 11/19/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Freialdenhoven · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Hennef 05 are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Freialdenhoven are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Freialdenhoven hold a 7.8-point power-rating edge (41.0 v 48.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.8% in the Oberliga - Mittelrhein, while Freialdenhoven holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Freialdenhoven

Probability

47.8%

Model confidence

47.8%

Freialdenhoven has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Hennef 05WDLLW

GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
FreialdenhovenLWWLD

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20

BTTS 0/5O2.5 2/5
Hennef 05Freialdenhoven
49.4Attack54.0
29.9Defence50.6
40.2Form41.4
41.0Power48.8
1.61xG2.19
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