Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Frechen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-3
Hennef 05 are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Frechen are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWWLL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Frechen hold a 25.5-point power-rating edge (41.0 v 66.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 74.0% in the Oberliga - Mittelrhein, while Frechen holds the strongest overall chance at 74% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 80% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Frechen
Probability
74.0%
Model confidence
74.0%
Frechen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 13 · avg 1.40/2.60
GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80